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What risks does Israel face if it attacks Iran? 0
(Dan Tri) – Israel can easily penetrate Iran’s air defense system to launch a response, but in return, Tel Aviv risks suffering an even more fierce retaliation from Tehran.
An Israeli Iron Dome air defense complex (Photo: Reuters).
Israeli officials are said to have chosen a plan to respond to Iran, but the details of how and when to respond are still a secret.
One of the options that Israel can consider is to directly attack Iranian territory.
Experts say that Israel may not have much difficulty attacking targets inside Iran, which has an outdated air force and indigenous air defense systems based on old Russian models.
Zvika Haimovich, a former Israeli air force commander, said Iran is a `superpower in tactical ballistic missiles and drones`, but the country’s air defense system is another matter.
Iran’s air defense system is mainly based on Russia’s S-200 and S-300 air defense systems or some equivalent domestically produced systems such as Bavar-373, Khordad, Raad, Sayyad and Talash as well as other types of air defense systems.
Iran has deployed similar systems in Syria since 2015, and this gives Israel many years of experience dealing with them.
Mr. Sidharth Kausha, a researcher at the Royal Institute of Unified Strategy in London, said that the main challenge for Israel may not be avoiding Iran’s anti-aircraft missiles, but how to successfully attack them.
Israel’s F-35 fighter jets can avoid Iran’s air defense network, often carrying smaller weapons.
The issue is whether Israel is willing to risk a direct attack.
According to Reuters, if the situation escalates further, the scenario cannot be ruled out that Iran will use more powerful weapons in its arsenal of more than 3,500 missiles and thousands of drones to attack Israel again.
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian warned yesterday: `In case Israel pursues military adventure and takes action against Iran’s interests, we will respond to the fullest and immediately.`
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Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian (Photo: AFP).
The fact that Israel and its allies intercepted 99% of missiles and drones in Iran’s attack on April 14 shows Israel’s formidable air defense capacity and arsenal.
On the other hand, it also shows that the cost of interception is not cheap.
Brigadier General Doron Gavish, head of Israel’s air defense task force, said Israel was working to restore stockpiles in preparation for another potential attack from Iran or its proxies.
If Israel were to face Iran alone in a future conflict, it could use the Iron Dome and David’s Sling air defense systems as more economical backup options.
`Iran is not the only party that knows how to attack. Israel has very important offensive options. There will not be a situation where Israel just defends itself while Iran attacks,` said Amos Yadlin, a retired air force general and